Pretty standard program with S wind will be to run out to Brenton R4 "J" or R2 "K" and spin back up East Passage. No way we can go any further south if we start at Rose and want to make it back in time to get ready for dinner. that will be a solid 2+ hour race in good wind. and with this regatta ... dinner is everything. high tide at 3:40 will slow things down upwind. In light wind ... coin toss.